Is Arlington, TN 38002 a buyer’s or seller’s market?

Seller’s market 3 months ending August 31, 2026 · Source: Redfin

Arlington is a seller’s market. With about 3.7 months of supply and 13% of recent sales closing above the original list price, competing offers are common on well-priced homes. Buyers here often have a pre-approval in hand and a plan for the appraisal gap before touring.

Competition score41/ 100

More competitive than 41% of U.S. ZIP codes, and #55 of 299 in the state.

Based on share sold above original list, sale-to-list ratio, months of supply and days on market for the 3 months ending August 31, 2026. See the breakdown

Months of supply3.7Under 4 months = seller’s market
Sold above original list12.6%Share of sales, last 3 months
Median sale-to-list98.6%Sold price ÷ list price
Median days on market37Listing to accepted offer
Median price per sq ft$164▼ −6.1% vs. last year

The Arlington housing market right now

In the three months ending August 31, 2026, 13% of homes in Arlington, TN 38002 sold above their list price, the typical home went under contract in 37 days and there were 3.7 months of supply. Under four months of supply means sellers have the edge: expect competition for well-priced homes. That’s based on 187 home sales.

Compared with the same period a year earlier, the share selling over asking fell from 19%, homes sold more slowly (26 days then) and the median sale price rose 5% to $466,798. Overall, Arlington is less competitive than a year ago, which gives buyers more room.

Within Shelby County, homes here sell more slowly than in 66% of the county’s ZIP codes, and sell more often over asking than in 50%. On our competition score, Arlington ranks #55 of 299 TN ZIP codes with enough sales (score 41 out of 100).

Nearby, buyers who want less competition could look at Memphis 38105 (0% sold over asking) or Ellendale 38029 (0% sold over asking), while Memphis 38126 (50% sold over asking) and Cordova 38018 (22% sold over asking) are even more competitive.

Nearby markets

Collierville 38017Seller’s market $180 /sq ftCordova 38016Seller’s market $133 /sq ftCordova 38018Seller’s market $147 /sq ftEllendale 38029 $109 /sq ft Browse all markets →

Where Arlington is

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Questions about Arlington real estate

Is Arlington a buyer’s or seller’s market?

A seller’s market: there were 3.7 months of supply in Arlington, TN 38002 in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Under four months usually favors sellers, and more than six favors buyers.

How fast do homes sell in Arlington?

The typical home went under contract in 37 days in the latest three months.

Do homes in Arlington sell over asking?

13% of homes sold above their original list price, and the typical sale closed at 98.6% of the list price.

What are property taxes in Arlington?

About 0.98% of a home’s value a year in Shelby County, or roughly $3,920 on a $400,000 home.

What is the median home price in Arlington?

The median sale price was $466,798 in the three months ending August 31, 2026, about $164 per square foot.

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Market data describes housing activity only. Figures are rolling 3-month values from Redfin and may be revised. Methodology