Is Mesa, AZ 85204 a buyer’s or seller’s market?

Seller’s market 3 months ending August 31, 2026 · Source: Redfin

Mesa is a seller’s market. With about 2.4 months of supply and 14% of recent sales closing above the original list price, competing offers are common on well-priced homes. Buyers here often have a pre-approval in hand and a plan for the appraisal gap before touring.

Competition score45/ 100

More competitive than 46% of U.S. ZIP codes, and #18 of 231 in the state.

Based on share sold above original list, sale-to-list ratio, months of supply and days on market for the 3 months ending August 31, 2026. See the breakdown

Months of supply2.4Under 4 months = seller’s market
Sold above original list14.3%Share of sales, last 3 months
Median sale-to-list98.7%Sold price ÷ list price
Median days on market48Listing to accepted offer
Median price per sq ft$274▲ +1.1% vs. last year

The Mesa housing market right now

In the three months ending August 31, 2026, 14% of homes in Mesa, AZ 85204 sold above their list price, the typical home went under contract in 48 days and there were 2.4 months of supply. Under four months of supply means sellers have the edge: expect competition for well-priced homes. That’s based on 108 home sales.

Compared with the same period a year earlier, the share selling over asking was about the same (16% then), homes sold more slowly (46 days then) and the median sale price rose 3% to $416,820. Overall, Mesa is about as competitive as it was a year ago.

Within Maricopa County, homes here sell faster than in 83% of the county’s ZIP codes, and sell more often over asking than in 71%. On our competition score, Mesa ranks #18 of 231 AZ ZIP codes with enough sales (score 45 out of 100).

Nearby, buyers who want less competition could look at Wickenburg 85390 (0% sold over asking) or Carefree 85377 (0% sold over asking), while Arlington 85322 (33% sold over asking) and Tolleson 85353 (32% sold over asking) are even more competitive.

Nearby markets

Aguila 85320 $167 /sq ftArlington 85322Buyer’s market $241 /sq ftAvondale 85323Balanced $219 /sq ftAvondale 85392Seller’s market $220 /sq ft Browse all markets →

Where Mesa is

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Questions about Mesa real estate

Is Mesa a buyer’s or seller’s market?

A seller’s market: there were 2.4 months of supply in Mesa, AZ 85204 in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Under four months usually favors sellers, and more than six favors buyers.

How fast do homes sell in Mesa?

The typical home went under contract in 48 days in the latest three months.

Do homes in Mesa sell over asking?

14% of homes sold above their original list price, and the typical sale closed at 98.7% of the list price.

What are property taxes in Mesa?

About 0.44% of a home’s value a year in Maricopa County, or roughly $1,760 on a $400,000 home.

What is the median home price in Mesa?

The median sale price was $416,820 in the three months ending August 31, 2026, about $274 per square foot.

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Market data describes housing activity only. Figures are rolling 3-month values from Redfin and may be revised. Methodology