Is Mesa, AZ 85215 a buyer’s or seller’s market?

Balanced 3 months ending August 31, 2026 · Source: Redfin

Mesa is a balanced market. With about 4.3 months of supply, well-priced homes can still draw more than one offer, but buyers have some room to negotiate.

Competition score19/ 100

More competitive than 12% of U.S. ZIP codes, and #180 of 231 in the state.

Based on share sold above original list, sale-to-list ratio, months of supply and days on market for the 3 months ending August 31, 2026. See the breakdown

Months of supply4.3Under 4 months = seller’s market
Sold above original list5.2%Share of sales, last 3 months
Median sale-to-list97.3%Sold price ÷ list price
Median days on market65Listing to accepted offer
Median price per sq ft$278▼ −5.8% vs. last year

The Mesa housing market right now

In the three months ending August 31, 2026, 5% of homes in Mesa, AZ 85215 sold above their list price, the typical home went under contract in 65 days and there were 4.3 months of supply. Four to six months of supply is a balanced market, where pricing and condition decide how much room there is to negotiate. That’s based on 79 home sales.

Compared with the same period a year earlier, the share selling over asking was about the same (5% then), homes sold faster (75 days then) and the median sale price rose 1% to $494,786. Overall, Mesa is more competitive than a year ago, so tougher for buyers.

Within Maricopa County, homes here sell more slowly than in 58% of the county’s ZIP codes, and sell less often over asking than in 83%. On our competition score, Mesa ranks #180 of 231 AZ ZIP codes with enough sales (score 19 out of 100).

Nearby, buyers who want less competition could look at Wickenburg 85390 (0% sold over asking) or Carefree 85377 (0% sold over asking), while Arlington 85322 (33% sold over asking) and Tolleson 85353 (32% sold over asking) are even more competitive.

Nearby markets

Aguila 85320 $167 /sq ftArlington 85322Buyer’s market $241 /sq ftAvondale 85323Balanced $219 /sq ftAvondale 85392Seller’s market $220 /sq ft Browse all markets →

Where Mesa is

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Questions about Mesa real estate

Is Mesa a buyer’s or seller’s market?

A balanced market: there were 4.3 months of supply in Mesa, AZ 85215 in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Under four months usually favors sellers, and more than six favors buyers.

How fast do homes sell in Mesa?

The typical home went under contract in 65 days in the latest three months.

Do homes in Mesa sell over asking?

5% of homes sold above their original list price, and the typical sale closed at 97.3% of the list price.

What are property taxes in Mesa?

About 0.44% of a home’s value a year in Maricopa County, or roughly $1,760 on a $400,000 home.

What is the median home price in Mesa?

The median sale price was $494,786 in the three months ending August 31, 2026, about $278 per square foot.

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Market data describes housing activity only. Figures are rolling 3-month values from Redfin and may be revised. Methodology