Is Surprise, AZ 85388 a buyer’s or seller’s market?

The Surprise housing market right now

In the three months ending August 31, 2026, 13% of homes in Surprise, AZ 85388 sold above their list price, the typical home went under contract in 63 days and there were 4.8 months of supply. Four to six months of supply is a balanced market, where pricing and condition decide how much room there is to negotiate. That’s based on 156 home sales.

Compared with the same period a year earlier, the share selling over asking was about the same (11% then), homes sold faster (66 days then) and the median sale price rose 2% to $460,301. Overall, Surprise is about as competitive as it was a year ago.

Within Maricopa County, homes here sell more slowly than in 54% of the county’s ZIP codes, and sell more often over asking than in 64%. On our competition score, Surprise ranks #93 of 231 AZ ZIP codes with enough sales (score 30 out of 100).

Nearby, buyers who want less competition could look at Wickenburg 85390 (0% sold over asking) or Carefree 85377 (0% sold over asking), while Arlington 85322 (33% sold over asking) and Tolleson 85353 (32% sold over asking) are even more competitive.