Is Willow, AK 99688 a buyer’s or seller’s market?

Balanced 3 months ending August 31, 2026 · Source: Redfin

Willow is a balanced market. With about 6 months of supply, well-priced homes can still draw more than one offer, but buyers have some room to negotiate.

Competition score51/ 100

More competitive than 52% of U.S. ZIP codes, and #20 of 31 in the state.

Based on share sold above original list, sale-to-list ratio, months of supply and days on market for the 3 months ending August 31, 2026. See the breakdown

Months of supply6Under 4 months = seller’s market
Sold above original list19.2%Share of sales, last 3 months
Median sale-to-list99.3%Sold price ÷ list price
Median days on market16Listing to accepted offer
Median price per sq ft$261▲ +20.7% vs. last year

The Willow housing market right now

In the three months ending August 31, 2026, 19% of homes in Willow, AK 99688 sold above their list price, the typical home went under contract in 16 days and there were 6 months of supply. Four to six months of supply is a balanced market, where pricing and condition decide how much room there is to negotiate. That’s based on 27 home sales.

Compared with the same period a year earlier, the share selling over asking was about the same (18% then), homes sold faster (23 days then) and the median sale price fell 15% to $274,881. Overall, Willow is more competitive than a year ago, so tougher for buyers.

Within Matanuska-Susitna Borough, homes here sell faster than in 60% of the county’s ZIP codes, and sell less often over asking than in 60%. On our competition score, Willow ranks #20 of 31 AK ZIP codes with enough sales (score 51 out of 100).

Nearby, buyers who want less competition could look at Cantwell 99729 (0% sold over asking) or Skwentna 99667 (0% sold over asking), while Sutton 99674 (100% sold over asking) and Houston 99694 (36% sold over asking) are even more competitive.

Nearby markets

Big Lake 99652Seller’s market $312 /sq ftCantwell 99729 $344 /sq ftHouston 99694Seller’s market $276 /sq ftPalmer 99645Seller’s market $268 /sq ft Browse all markets →

Where Willow is

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Questions about Willow real estate

Is Willow a buyer’s or seller’s market?

A balanced market: there were 6 months of supply in Willow, AK 99688 in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Under four months usually favors sellers, and more than six favors buyers.

How fast do homes sell in Willow?

The typical home went under contract in 16 days in the latest three months.

Do homes in Willow sell over asking?

19% of homes sold above their original list price, and the typical sale closed at 99.3% of the list price.

What are property taxes in Willow?

About 1.06% of a home’s value a year in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, or roughly $4,240 on a $400,000 home.

What is the median home price in Willow?

The median sale price was $274,881 in the three months ending August 31, 2026, about $261 per square foot.

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Market data describes housing activity only. Figures are rolling 3-month values from Redfin and may be revised. Methodology