Is Vail, AZ 85641 a buyer’s or seller’s market?

Balanced 3 months ending August 31, 2026 · Source: Redfin

Vail is a balanced market. With about 4.3 months of supply, well-priced homes can still draw more than one offer, but buyers have some room to negotiate.

Competition score26/ 100

More competitive than 21% of U.S. ZIP codes, and #124 of 231 in the state.

Based on share sold above original list, sale-to-list ratio, months of supply and days on market for the 3 months ending August 31, 2026. See the breakdown

Months of supply4.3Under 4 months = seller’s market
Sold above original list8.3%Share of sales, last 3 months
Median sale-to-list98.8%Sold price ÷ list price
Median days on market76Listing to accepted offer
Median price per sq ft$204▲ +0.5% vs. last year

The Vail housing market right now

In the three months ending August 31, 2026, 8% of homes in Vail, AZ 85641 sold above their list price, the typical home went under contract in 76 days and there were 4.3 months of supply. Four to six months of supply is a balanced market, where pricing and condition decide how much room there is to negotiate. That’s based on 211 home sales.

Compared with the same period a year earlier, the share selling over asking was about the same (8% then), homes sold faster (90 days then) and the median sale price rose 4% to $409,823. Overall, Vail is more competitive than a year ago, so tougher for buyers.

Within Pima County, homes here sell more slowly than in 73% of the county’s ZIP codes, and sell less often over asking than in 81%. On our competition score, Vail ranks #124 of 231 AZ ZIP codes with enough sales (score 26 out of 100).

Nearby, buyers who want less competition could look at Tucson 85736 (0% sold over asking) or Ajo 85321 (0% sold over asking), while Arivaca 85601 (50% sold over asking) and Amado 85645 (33% sold over asking) are even more competitive.

Nearby markets

Ajo 85321Buyer’s market $135 /sq ftAmado 85645Balanced $173 /sq ftArivaca 85601Seller’s market $196 /sq ftGreen Valley 85614Balanced $197 /sq ft Browse all markets →

Where Vail is

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Questions about Vail real estate

Is Vail a buyer’s or seller’s market?

A balanced market: there were 4.3 months of supply in Vail, AZ 85641 in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Under four months usually favors sellers, and more than six favors buyers.

How fast do homes sell in Vail?

The typical home went under contract in 76 days in the latest three months.

Do homes in Vail sell over asking?

8% of homes sold above their original list price, and the typical sale closed at 98.8% of the list price.

What are property taxes in Vail?

About 0.71% of a home’s value a year in Pima County, or roughly $2,840 on a $400,000 home.

What is the median home price in Vail?

The median sale price was $409,823 in the three months ending August 31, 2026, about $204 per square foot.

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Market data describes housing activity only. Figures are rolling 3-month values from Redfin and may be revised. Methodology